The Nelson A. Rockefeller Center for Public Policy and the Social Sciences

Politics and Government

Public Program: “Aftermath: Polls, Predictions, and American Politics”

The results of the latest presidential election cycle shocked many, and some would argue that the nation is still processing the results even now, after the inauguration. For months, countless polls were predicting a Clinton victory. Not only that, many claimed that a Trump presidency was not only unlikely, but unfeasible statistically. Clearly, these claims were incorrect, and the American public must come to terms with the supposed failure of our pollsters.

FiveThirtyEight is considered by many to be a forerunner in the field of political predictions. While they too believed that Secretary Clinton would beat President Trump in the election, FiveThirtyEight’s models showed a significantly higher chance of a Trump victory than did other pollsters.

2016 Dartmouth Experiments Conference

In July, political scientist, New York Times contributor, and Dartmouth Professor of Government Brendan Nyhan organized the 2016 Dartmouth Experiments Conference. This two-day event brought together researchers who use quantitative data to investigate phenomena surrounding elections, voter behavior, and public opinion. As an intensive quantitative research workshop, the conference featured presentations of new findings and study designs by graduate students, postdoctoral researchers, and junior faculty who study American politics.

Scholars from various backgrounds took advantage of this opportunity to collaborate and discuss the latest findings in their field, pooling together their own expertise with quantitative data.

“Finally, It’s Over: The 2016 Election and Its Aftermath”

How did we get to where we are today? Where are we going to go from here? This election cycle has been one of the most divisive campaigns in our nation’s history. It has been a very long and out-of-the-ordinary presidential campaign and a neck-and-neck U.S. Senate race in New Hampshire. A panel of American politics faculty members assessed the results of the national and state elections. This event analyzed the candidates and what their win – and loss – means for the state of New Hampshire and the rest of the countr and wrestled with the questions that have been bothering us throughout this election.

The panelists included Dartmouth College government professor and department chair Dean Lacy. Professor Lacy also serves as the Director of the Program in Politics and Law at the College. His research and teaching focuses on American and comparative politics, particularly elections, public opinion, and lawmaking. Additionally, Professor Lacy has written on the use and importance of economic sanctions in international relations, third party candidates, economic voting, referendums and initiatives, and divided government.

Town Hall Meeting with Gov. John Kasich

Governor Kasich was the fourth speaker in the series, America’s Economic Future, featuring presidential primary candidates. He spoke on Monday, January 18, 2016, from 3:30pm-4:30pm, in the Georgiopoulos Classroom, Raether Hall to a crowd of about 200. The event, co-sponsored by the Tuck School of Business and the Rockefeller Center for Public Policy, was Kasich's second visit to Dartmouth since he joined the Republican primary contest.

The governor jumped into the town hall exchange after brief opening remarks by Matthew Slaughter and Andrew Samwick. He took questions and conversed with students and members of the community well after the host, former New Hampshire Gov. John Lynch, called time. Lynch, a senior fellow at Tuck’s Center for Global Business and Government, has been instrumental in organizing the series, which has also hosted Republican presidential hopefuls Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC) and former New York Gov. George Pataki, as well as Democrat presidential candidate former Senator Hillary Clinton.

Town Hall Meeting with U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders

On Thursday, January 14, 2016, Sen. Bernie Sanders, a candidate for the Democratic nomination for president, lead a town hall discussion at Dartmouth in an event hosted by the Nelson A. Rockefeller Center for Public Policy and Social Sciences and the Tuck School of Business.

Before Sander's appearance, Madeline Cooper '16 and Jordyn Turner '16, gave a short speech that urged students to be politically active.

The discussion officially began at 7 p.m. in Spaulding Auditorium at the Hopkins Center for the Arts. but the line to get in started forming well before that time. It was estimated that over 1900 people showed up to hear the Senator from Vermont talk about his vision for tuition-free higher education, as well as his plans to address climate change and take on a corrupt political system holding in place a rigged economy.

The views and opinions expressed and any materials presented during a public program are the speaker’s own and do not necessarily represent the views and opinions of the Nelson A. Rockefeller Center or constitute an endorsement by the Center.

A Conversation with Secretary Hillary Clinton

As the third speaker featured in the series America’s Economic Future, co-sponsored by the Tuck School of Business and the Rockefeller Center, United States Secretary of State Hillary Clinton spoke at Dartmouth on November 10, 2015. Held in Spaulding Auditorium, the event hosted over a thousand Dartmouth students and Upper Valley residents, spilling over into overflow seating in Alumni Hall.

Hillary Clinton has served as Secretary of State, Senator from New York, First Lady of the United States, First Lady of Arkansas, a practicing lawyer and law professor, activist, and volunteer. During the event, Clinton discussed America’s economic status in the past seven years, beginning with when President Obama took office amidst the work economic crisis since the Great Depression. She began by emphasizing how poor conditions used to be, when America was losing over 800,000 jobs a month, and then turned the discussion toward a focus on America’s economic future.

“That’s especially relevant to Tuck students,” said Clinton. “You’re not just going to live in that future. You are going to help shape it.”

Public Program: Town Hall Meeting with Presidential Candidate US Senator Lindsey Graham

Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC) spoke with Dartmouth students and members of the community on November 4th, 2015.

As a part of the series America’s Economic Future, co-sponsored by Tuck and the Rockefeller Center, United States Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC) spoke at Dartmouth on November 4, 2015. Open to the public as a “town hall meeting,” the event took place at the Top of the Hop and was hosted both Dartmouth students and Upper Valley residents.
During the event, Senator Graham discussed his aspirations as a presidential candidate while also describing his upbringing and background. Graham spoke about his childhood living in a single room behind the family liquor store in South Carolina, his role as his family’s first college graduate, his experience in law school, and his 33 years of service in the Air Force JAG Corps. Graham argued that all of his past experiences contributed to his decision to run as a presidential candidate.

Charles Wheelan '88 on the Republic Debate

Charles Wheelan '88 commented on the Republican debate in a U.S. News & World Report opinion piece.

“If we treat politics as entertainment, we should not be surprised when we get entertainment,” says Charles Wheelan ’88, Senior Lecturer and Policy Fellow at the Rockefeller Center, in a U.S. News & World Report opinion piece about the October 28th Republican debate.

Rockefeller Center’s Perkins Bass Distinguished Visitor, Terie Norelli, Visits PBPL 45 Class

Terie Norelli, the Perkins Bass Distinguished Visitor, discusses her work as Speaker of the New Hampshire House.

On Thursday, October 22, 2015, Terie Norelli, former Speaker of the New Hampshire House of Representatives and President and CEO of the New Hampshire Women’s Foundation, spoke in Professor Shaiko’s PBPL 45: Introduction to Public Policy Research class. This was her first event at the Rockefeller Center as the Perkins Bass Distinguished Visitor. During her visit, Norelli commented on the large size of New Hampshire’s legislature and the unique atmosphere of this state legislature in recent years. She emphasized that recently, women have had a large role in state politics in New Hampshire and have had the ability to redirect the focus of the legislature to address women’s issues that had not previously been the focus of the NH policy agenda. Furthermore, she explained that the small district sizes in New Hampshire make the state legislative environment more hospitable to female candidates.

Republican Presidential Candidate George Pataki Talks about America’s Economic Future

This article was originally published in The Dartmouth on October 6th, 2015.

Presidential candidate George Pataki spoke about America' economic future. Photo by Seamore Zhu '19.

Five months after formally announcing his bid for the Republican presidential nomination in Exeter, New Hampshire, former New York governor George Pataki returned to the Granite State on Monday night and spoke to a small crowd of students, faculty and Upper Valley community members in the Georgiopoulos Classroom at the Tuck School of Business.

Co-sponsored by the Tuck Center for Global Business and Government and the Rockefeller Center for Public Policy, Pataki’s lecture was the first in a series which will feature presidential candidates addressing the topic of America’s economic future.

Pataki’s lecture touched on topics ranging from America’s corporate regulatory system to global climate change. He proposed smaller government, fewer tax codes and increased political bipartisanship as key components to economic success.

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